
CPO pricing remains firm. After staging a nice rebound since
Oct, CPO prices have managed to remain firm above MYR2600/
ton (US$765/ton), aided by both the rising crude oil prices
(above US$80/barrel) as well as concerns that the supply of
edible oil may be affected by the El Nino phenomenon.
Nevertheless, we intend to keep our conservative US$720/ton
average selling price estimate for GAR for this year, as GAR
tends to achieve lower CPO prices vs. spot market rates, where
its average rates could be reflecting 3-month old market rates.
On the other hand, due to the recent re-rating of CPO stocks,
we are raising our valuation multiple from 14x to 16x FY10F
EPS, resulting in a fair value of S$0.66 (previous: S$0.58).
Maintain BUY.